From Contrarian Outlook: Cash payouts of 8% and more (often paid monthly), plus price upside of 10%, 20%, sometimes even higher.
That’s what you get with closed-end funds–and you can often get it in just one buy!
But as terrific as these off-the-radar funds are, you still need to be careful: of the 500 or so CEFs available to us, only a handful are worth your attention. Others give you mediocre returns, at best. And some can drain away your cash fast!
And in a year that’s been challenging for just about all asset classes, the worst CEFs are showing their stripes, with the real laggards down double digits, and for good reason–their portfolios (as measured by net asset value, or NAV) can’t generate the performance they need to push their share prices higher.
Today we’re going to pull back the curtain on some of these losers and look at why they are performing so poorly. When you see the reasons behind their money-losing ways, you’ll know how to avoid funds like these in the future.
CEF Laggard #1: High Fees, Low Returns
The RMR Real Estate Income Fund (RIF) holds a portfolio of real estate investment trusts (REITs) and often attracts attention because of its massive discount: at a market price 19.8% below its NAV, RIF looks like a bargain.
That also makes its 8% dividend yield seem more attractive because it means RIF only needs to earn a 6.6% return to maintain its payouts–and that’s easy to do in today’s REIT market.
But RIF is far from providing such a return.
Weak Returns Over the Long Haul
While RIF (orange line above) is up a pathetic 3.3% annualized over the last decade, the REIT index fund SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR) is up over twice that.
Oh, and if you’re buying RIF for a wide discount that you expect to close soon, think again.
RIF Is Cheap–but It Has Been Cheaper
While RIF’s discount has been a little wider in the past than it is now, it’s stayed below 10% for most of the decade and has fallen as low as 40%. So those capital gains from a shrinking discount are far from guaranteed.
And if you’re wondering why RIF is priced so cheaply and is such a big underperformer, it comes from two problems: the first is the portfolio. RIF has made a big bet on some REITs that have massively underperformed, like Ventas (VTR), a top-10 holding that is down nearly 20% in the last year.
Plus, you’ll have to pay management 2.2% to run this portfolio of underperforming REITs for you, while RWR has a fee of just 0.25%. High fees are okay if you get high returns, but RIF has high fees and low returns.
Skip this one.
CEF Laggard #2: Missing Out on the Oil Bounce
Energy has had a bit of a rebound in 2018, with WTI oil futures up 9% year to date. That’s helped boost a lot of energy funds’ NAVs, but not that of the First Trust New Opportunities MLP & Energy Total Return Fund (FPL), an energy- and MLP-focused fund that has sunk like a rock in 2018:
Plunging Portfolio Drags Down FPL
The market has clearly seen the underperformance here, driving FPL’s price down double digits alongside the fund’s NAV. And although it’s tempting to be a contrarian bargain hunter, it’s important to realize that FPL is trading at a 2.4% premium to NAV, far above its long-term average of a 3.5% discount:
Overpriced for Low Performance
While energy is popular for people looking to diversify, FPL gets you exposure with a history of massive losses, where other CEFs have had positive returns. Since its IPO, FPL’s market price is down 26.8%. And you’ll pay 2.7% fees for them to lose your money.
So why does anyone bother to buy this loser? Its 12.4% dividend is probably a big reason; but big yields are often big danger signs, and FPL is no exception. Because while that cash stream may make you feel rich, the fund’s NAV is down far more than its market price (a 48% loss) since inception due to very poor asset choices while still paying out a big and unsustainable dividend, so in reality, FPL is making you poorer.
CEF Laggard #3: A Bad Muni Fund in a Good Muni Market
It’s time to get more excited about municipal-bond CEFs, for one simple reason: they’re absurdly oversold.
Take, for instance, the PIMCO CA Municipal Income II Fund (PCK), which is trading at a rare 1.6% discount to NAV (PIMCO muni funds usually trade at a premium). Just look at how PCK’s NAV has performed versus its market price since the beginning of the year:
A Solid Muni-Bond Opportunity
With a 16.6% decline in market price and a near-flat NAV return, PCK’s usually silly premium has turned into a rare discount. And it’s far from alone, thanks to investors’ overblown panic about the muni market (a panic, by the way, that has been proven wrong, since munis are still up over the last couple of years).
But some bond funds have done worse while posting discounts that aren’t nearly as attractive, because their NAV declines have been similar but their price declines have been much more modest, bringing the gap between NAV and price performance much closer to each other than what we see with PCK.
That’s why you should avoid buying the Eaton Vance NJ Municipal Bond Fund (EMJ), which has seen its NAV return fall by nearly 2% in 2018, and its price decline, while bigger, is nowhere near as dramatic as that of PCK:
A Declining NAV Without a Radically Bigger Discount
That amounts to a 16.1% discount to NAV, which, while still wide, is there for a reason: this fund’s annualized return is just 3.5% over the last decade, which is unacceptable considering EMJ’s 1.9% management fee.
It may take years or even a decade for EMJ’s market return to improve–there’s just no indication that this low-returning fund will turn around anytime soon. And that’s why it’s worth avoiding.
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The Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) was unchanged in premarket trading Friday. Year-to-date, VYM has declined -2.37%, versus a 1.92% rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.
This article is brought to you courtesy of Contrarian Outlook.
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